Emkay Global 's report on Nestle
“Nestle Q4CY14 reported steady performance with marginal miss on revenues and in-line PAT performance. Key highlights are: (1) Revenue growth of 12% yoy to Rs 25.2bn with domestic revenues growing at 11% yoy to Rs 23.6bn, while exports grew at strong 18% yoy; (2) EBITDA at Rs 5.4bn up 18% yoy led by lower input cost & prudent expenses management. (3) Gross margin improved 200bps yoy to 55.4%, with EBITDA margins improving 120bps yoy to 21.6%. (3) Lower yields impacted other income, which declined 23% yoy to Rs 326mn. (4) Zero finance costs due to debt pay-off resulted in APAT growth of 21% yoy to Rs 3.3bn.”
“Domestic revenues grew 11% to Rs 23.6bn, with underlying volume growth in the range of 2- 3% yoy and better realization. Innovations in prepared dishes segment, especially Maggi Oats noodles, Atta noodles, Masala-ae-Magic seem to have improved volume trajectory. Export business saw good traction and grew by 18% to Rs 1.6bn driven by export of milk and nutrition products to Bangladesh.”
“Results remained on expected lines led by some volume uptick and gross margin expansion. With likely improvement in urban & discretionary demand, expect Nestle’s portfolio to report higher growth, while lower inputs & better mix should drive margin and earnings. No capex & tight working capital should ensure sustained and strong free cash flows in coming years and subsequently higher payouts. Continues to trade at attractive FCF yield of 3.3% on CY16E. We maintain Accumulate with a revised target price of Rs 7500/Share (3% CY16E FCF yield)”, says Emkay Global Financial Services’ research report.
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