A 256-page report, released here by NIC officer Robert S Williams for South Asia, says India needs to create as many as 10 million jobs every year in the coming decade
A US intelligence report analysing global trends has said that in the wake of unmatched economic progress, youth bulge may prove a bane rather than a boon for India.
After every four years, when results of the presidential elections are out, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) of the US releases a long-term strategic analysis for the new administration, parts of which are declassified for public debate.
A 256-page report, released here by NIC officer Robert S Williams for South Asia, says India needs to create as many as 10 million jobs every year in the coming decade.
Even in the global context, the NIC, which in the US, serves as a bridge between the intelligence and policy communities, has predicted rising tensions within and between countries of different regions over the next five years.
According to the 2011 census, around 41 per cent of India’s population is below the age of 20 years. By 2020, India is set to become the world’s youngest country, with 64 per cent in the working age group.
“Insufficient opportunity as a result of inadequate resources and social discrimination could contribute to the radicalisation of a segment of the region’s youth,” the report said. It also raised a red flag at the widespread pre-natal sex selection that is making the youth population disproportionate.
The 2011 Census figures show child-sex ratio dropping to 914 females against 1,000 males. It has major consequences for social stability as the intelligence report finds a correlation between prospectless young men and violence. The report also described violent extremism in Pakistan having negative implications for regional stability.
While in Pakistan and Bangladesh, political Islamic movements are taking roots, in India, Hindu nationalism was a predominantly urban phenomenon, it said.
India will surpass Indonesia as the country with the largest Muslim population in 2050. A perceived terror threat and prospect of Hindus losing identity in their homeland are creating a mistrust and providing growing support for Hindutva, it said.
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According to the 2011 census, around 41 per cent of India’s population is below the age of 20 years. By 2020, India is set to become the world’s youngest country, with 64 per cent in the working age group.
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