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DISCRIMINANT
ANALYSIS
Wei-Jiun, Shen Ph. D.
Purpose
 To predict group membership from a set of
predictors
 Level of DV > 2
 What analytic strategy will you use?
Kinds of research questions
 Goals of discriminant analysis are to find the
dimension or dimensions along which groups differ,
and to find classification function to predict group
membership.
 Significance of prediction
 Number of significant discriminant functions
 Dimensions of discrimination
 Classification functions
 Adequacy of classification
 Effect size
 Importance of predictor variables
 Significance of prediction with covariates
 Estimation of group means
Limitations to discriminant analysis
 Theoretical issues
 Random assignment
 Generalizability
 Practical issues
 Unequal sample size, missing data, and power
 Multivariate normality
 Absence of outliers
 Homogeneity of variance-covariance matrices
 Linearity
 Absence of multicollinearity and singularity
Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis
 Derivation and test of discriminant functions
𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 = 𝑆 𝑏𝑔 + 𝑆 𝑤𝑔
Λ =
𝑆 𝑤𝑔
𝑆 𝑏𝑔 + 𝑆 𝑤𝑔
Approximate F = 𝑑𝑓1, 𝑑𝑓2 =
1−𝑦
𝑦
𝑑𝑓2
𝑑𝑓1
Λ
1
2 = 𝑦;
Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis
 Classification
 Equal group size
 Unequal group size
𝐶𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 +𝑐𝑗1 𝑋1 + 𝑐𝑗2 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑐𝑖𝑝 𝑋 𝑝
𝐂𝑗 = 𝐖−1
𝐌𝑗 𝑐𝑗0 = −
1
2
𝐂𝑗
′
𝐌𝑗
𝐂𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 +
𝑖=1
𝑝
𝑐𝑗𝑖 𝑋𝑖 + 𝑙𝑛
𝑛𝑗
𝑁
Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis
 Projection
𝐶𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 +𝑐𝑗1 𝑋1 + 𝑐𝑗2 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑐𝑖𝑝 𝑋 𝑝
Xp
Cj
θ
Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis
 Solution
B − ΛW K = 0
𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = Λ =
𝑟𝑐1
2
⋯ ⋯
⋮ ⋱ ⋮
⋮ ⋯ 𝑟𝑐𝑖
2
𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 = K = 𝑘1 ⋯ 𝑘 𝑞
Do you smell
something?
Discriminant analysis
 Prediction
1
1
N
P
N*P
X
1
2
3
2
1
3
2
1
N*1
Y
Discriminant function
 Special case of canonical analysis
1
1
N
P
N*P
X
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
N*1
Y
Discriminant function
 Special case of canonical analysis
1
1
N
P
N*P
X
1
N
N*(L-1)
…D1 D2 D3 DL-1
1 0 0 … 0
0 1 0 … 0
0 0 1 … 0
0 0 0 … 1
Discriminant function
 Special case of canonical analysis
χ1
χ2
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
η1
η2
D1
D2
𝑟𝑐2
𝑟𝑐3
0
0
Example: 1 predictor
 DV
Y=0
Y=1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
X
1 27
4
9
31013 5 6 12
11
3
14
15
Example: 2 predictors
 DV
Y=0
Y=1
Y=2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X1
12
4
3
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
11
13
14
15
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X2
14
2
5
3
6
78
9
10
12
11
13
14
15
Example: 2 predictors
 DV
Y=0
Y=1
Y=2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1
2 4 3
5
6
7
8
9
10
1211 13 14
15
Discriminant function 2
= 0*X1+1*X2
Discriminant function 1
= 1*X1+0*X2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Number
Min (N of IV, df for DV)
Principle of discriminant function
 Various linear combination (projection)
Principle of discriminant analysis
 Maximize difference among levels
 Minimize variance within level
X1
X2
C1
Types of discriminant analysis
 Direct(standard) discriminant analysis
 Test for the significance
 Sequential discriminant analysis
 Mathematical resolution of combining variables
 Stepwise(statistical) discriminant analysis
 Mathematical resolution of combining variables
Criteria for overall statistical significance
 General
 Wilk’s lamda
 Hotelling’s trace
 Roy’s gcr
 Pillai’s criterion
 Distance-based (usually for stepwise)
 Mahalanobis’D2
 Rao’s V
Interpreting discriminant functions
 Discriminant function plots (F1 & F2; F2 & F3;…)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
G1
Discriminant function 2
= 0*X1+1*X2
Discriminant function 1
= 1*X1+0*X2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
G2
G3
Interpreting discriminant functions
 Discriminant weight (coefficient)
 Beta in regression analysis
 Discriminant loading
 Simple linear correlation between IV and discriminant
function
 >.33 (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2009)
 >.40 (Hair et al., 2010)
Evaluating predictor variables
 Classification function coefficient / loading
 Magnitude
 Mean difference
 Compare MGi and Mpooled(Gn-i)
 Inflation of type 1 error
 Adjusted alpha
 Potency index
Potency index
χn
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
ηn
D1
D2
D3
D4
𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑛λ 𝑥𝑛1
λ 𝑥𝑛2
λ 𝑥𝑛3
λ 𝑥𝑛4
λ 𝑥𝑛5
λ 𝑦𝑛1
λ 𝑦𝑛2
λ 𝑦𝑛3
λ 𝑦𝑛4
Square
d
𝑃𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑥𝑛𝑖→y = λ 𝑥𝑛𝑖
2
×
𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑛
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
2
Effect size
 Total
 Partial η2
 Specific
 Eigenvalue (each discriminant function)
 Squared structure matric loading (each predictor)
𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 η2
= 1 − Λ
1
3
Use of classification procedure
 Generalization (hit ratio)
 Cross-validation and new case
 Jackknified classification
 Leave one out classification
 Evaluating improvement in classification
 Sequential
Early step
classification
Correct Incorrect
Later step
classification
Correct A B
Incorrect C D
χ2 1 =
𝐵 − 𝐶 − 1
𝐵 + 𝐶
Standards of hit ratio
 Proportion chance criterion
 Press’s Q
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑠′ 𝑠 𝑄 =
𝑁 − 𝑛𝐾 2
𝑁(𝐾 − 1)
𝐶 𝑝𝑟𝑜 = 𝑝2 + (1 − 𝑝)2
ℎ𝑖𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 > 1.25 × 𝐶 𝑝𝑟𝑜 𝑝2
χ2 > 3.84 (𝛼 = .05)
χ2 > 6.63 (𝛼 = .01)
Procedure
1. Research question
2. Designing a canonical analysis
3. Check the assumptions
4. Derive canonical analysis and assess overall fit
5. Interpret the canonical variate
6. Validation and diagnosis
PRACTICE
過去學業表現與現在學業表現
 研究生倪之道想瞭解運動團隊默契對團隊表現的
影響。他的研究問題是,個體認為團隊有正確的
任務知識、能力評價與情緒覺察等三個運動團隊
默契的向度是否能預測比賽名次?其中,比賽名
次為類別變項。請以區別分析解答此問題。

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Discriminant analysis

  • 2. Purpose  To predict group membership from a set of predictors  Level of DV > 2  What analytic strategy will you use?
  • 3. Kinds of research questions  Goals of discriminant analysis are to find the dimension or dimensions along which groups differ, and to find classification function to predict group membership.  Significance of prediction  Number of significant discriminant functions  Dimensions of discrimination  Classification functions  Adequacy of classification  Effect size  Importance of predictor variables  Significance of prediction with covariates  Estimation of group means
  • 4. Limitations to discriminant analysis  Theoretical issues  Random assignment  Generalizability  Practical issues  Unequal sample size, missing data, and power  Multivariate normality  Absence of outliers  Homogeneity of variance-covariance matrices  Linearity  Absence of multicollinearity and singularity
  • 5. Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis  Derivation and test of discriminant functions 𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 = 𝑆 𝑏𝑔 + 𝑆 𝑤𝑔 Λ = 𝑆 𝑤𝑔 𝑆 𝑏𝑔 + 𝑆 𝑤𝑔 Approximate F = 𝑑𝑓1, 𝑑𝑓2 = 1−𝑦 𝑦 𝑑𝑓2 𝑑𝑓1 Λ 1 2 = 𝑦;
  • 6. Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis  Classification  Equal group size  Unequal group size 𝐶𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 +𝑐𝑗1 𝑋1 + 𝑐𝑗2 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑐𝑖𝑝 𝑋 𝑝 𝐂𝑗 = 𝐖−1 𝐌𝑗 𝑐𝑗0 = − 1 2 𝐂𝑗 ′ 𝐌𝑗 𝐂𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 + 𝑖=1 𝑝 𝑐𝑗𝑖 𝑋𝑖 + 𝑙𝑛 𝑛𝑗 𝑁
  • 7. Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis  Projection 𝐶𝑗 = 𝑐𝑗0 +𝑐𝑗1 𝑋1 + 𝑐𝑗2 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑐𝑖𝑝 𝑋 𝑝 Xp Cj θ
  • 8. Fundamental equation for discriminant analysis  Solution B − ΛW K = 0 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = Λ = 𝑟𝑐1 2 ⋯ ⋯ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋮ ⋯ 𝑟𝑐𝑖 2 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 = K = 𝑘1 ⋯ 𝑘 𝑞 Do you smell something?
  • 10. Discriminant function  Special case of canonical analysis 1 1 N P N*P X 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 N*1 Y
  • 11. Discriminant function  Special case of canonical analysis 1 1 N P N*P X 1 N N*(L-1) …D1 D2 D3 DL-1 1 0 0 … 0 0 1 0 … 0 0 0 1 … 0 0 0 0 … 1
  • 12. Discriminant function  Special case of canonical analysis χ1 χ2 X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 η1 η2 D1 D2 𝑟𝑐2 𝑟𝑐3 0 0
  • 13. Example: 1 predictor  DV Y=0 Y=1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 X 1 27 4 9 31013 5 6 12 11 3 14 15
  • 14. Example: 2 predictors  DV Y=0 Y=1 Y=2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 X1 12 4 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 11 13 14 15 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 X2 14 2 5 3 6 78 9 10 12 11 13 14 15
  • 15. Example: 2 predictors  DV Y=0 Y=1 Y=2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 4 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 1211 13 14 15 Discriminant function 2 = 0*X1+1*X2 Discriminant function 1 = 1*X1+0*X2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Number Min (N of IV, df for DV)
  • 16. Principle of discriminant function  Various linear combination (projection)
  • 17. Principle of discriminant analysis  Maximize difference among levels  Minimize variance within level X1 X2 C1
  • 18. Types of discriminant analysis  Direct(standard) discriminant analysis  Test for the significance  Sequential discriminant analysis  Mathematical resolution of combining variables  Stepwise(statistical) discriminant analysis  Mathematical resolution of combining variables
  • 19. Criteria for overall statistical significance  General  Wilk’s lamda  Hotelling’s trace  Roy’s gcr  Pillai’s criterion  Distance-based (usually for stepwise)  Mahalanobis’D2  Rao’s V
  • 20. Interpreting discriminant functions  Discriminant function plots (F1 & F2; F2 & F3;…) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 G1 Discriminant function 2 = 0*X1+1*X2 Discriminant function 1 = 1*X1+0*X2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 G2 G3
  • 21. Interpreting discriminant functions  Discriminant weight (coefficient)  Beta in regression analysis  Discriminant loading  Simple linear correlation between IV and discriminant function  >.33 (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2009)  >.40 (Hair et al., 2010)
  • 22. Evaluating predictor variables  Classification function coefficient / loading  Magnitude  Mean difference  Compare MGi and Mpooled(Gn-i)  Inflation of type 1 error  Adjusted alpha  Potency index
  • 23. Potency index χn X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 ηn D1 D2 D3 D4 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑛λ 𝑥𝑛1 λ 𝑥𝑛2 λ 𝑥𝑛3 λ 𝑥𝑛4 λ 𝑥𝑛5 λ 𝑦𝑛1 λ 𝑦𝑛2 λ 𝑦𝑛3 λ 𝑦𝑛4 Square d 𝑃𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑥𝑛𝑖→y = λ 𝑥𝑛𝑖 2 × 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑛 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 2
  • 24. Effect size  Total  Partial η2  Specific  Eigenvalue (each discriminant function)  Squared structure matric loading (each predictor) 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 η2 = 1 − Λ 1 3
  • 25. Use of classification procedure  Generalization (hit ratio)  Cross-validation and new case  Jackknified classification  Leave one out classification  Evaluating improvement in classification  Sequential Early step classification Correct Incorrect Later step classification Correct A B Incorrect C D χ2 1 = 𝐵 − 𝐶 − 1 𝐵 + 𝐶
  • 26. Standards of hit ratio  Proportion chance criterion  Press’s Q 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑠′ 𝑠 𝑄 = 𝑁 − 𝑛𝐾 2 𝑁(𝐾 − 1) 𝐶 𝑝𝑟𝑜 = 𝑝2 + (1 − 𝑝)2 ℎ𝑖𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 > 1.25 × 𝐶 𝑝𝑟𝑜 𝑝2 χ2 > 3.84 (𝛼 = .05) χ2 > 6.63 (𝛼 = .01)
  • 27. Procedure 1. Research question 2. Designing a canonical analysis 3. Check the assumptions 4. Derive canonical analysis and assess overall fit 5. Interpret the canonical variate 6. Validation and diagnosis