Fitch Upgrades RPM's IDR to 'BBB'; Outlook Revised to Stable

CHICAGO--()--Fitch Ratings has upgraded the ratings of RPM International, Inc. (NYSE: RPM), including the company's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR), to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'. The Rating Outlook was revised to Stable from Positive. A complete list of rating actions follows at the end of this release.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

The upgrade of RPM's ratings to 'BBB' reflects the company's improving credit profile and Fitch's expectation that it will maintain (or further improve) its financial and credit metrics. The resolution of the company's asbestos litigation and the elimination of the uncertainty as to RPM's potential lability related to those claims also factored in the ratings upgrade.

The ratings for RPM also reflect the company's well-balanced portfolio of products, geographic and end-market diversity, solid liquidity position, stable credit metrics and consistent free cash flow (FCF) generation. Risks include the cyclicality of the company's end markets, growth through acquisition strategy, and enforcement claims filed by the SEC against the company and its General Counsel.

STABLE CREDIT METRICS

The company's credit metrics have been relatively stable over the past cycle. In particular, RPM's leverage has stayed within a narrow band over the past 14 years, with debt/EBITDA between 2.2x and 2.8x during the FY2003-FY2016 period. For the LTM ending Aug. 31, 2016, debt/EBITDA stood at 2.3x. FFO-adjusted leverage was 3.1x for the LTM compared with 3.3x at FY2016 and 3.8x at FY2015 and FY2014. EBITDA/interest coverage was 9.8x for the Aug. 31, 2016 LTM period compared with 9.7x for FY2016, 8.2x for FY2015 and 7.4x for FY2014.

Fitch expects debt/EBITDA will settle between 2.0x-2.5x, FFO-adjusted leverage will be below 3.5x, and interest coverage will remain above 7.5x in the near- to intermediate-term.

GROWTH THROUGH ACQUISITION STRATEGY

Since 2006, RPM has spent about $1.3 billion on acquisitions, including $51.7 million for seven acquisitions in FY2016, $72.7 million for six acquisitions during FY2015, $39.5 million for four acquisitions in FY2014 and $404.3 million for six acquisitions during FY2013. Management estimates that about 60% of its growth over the past decade was attributed to acquisitions, with the remaining 40% from organic growth.

Fitch believes that RPM employs a disciplined process and acquires businesses with strong margins in markets they are familiar with. The company typically targets small, bolt-on acquisitions that are usually adjacent products and/or geographic extensions. Fitch expects RPM will continue to pursue acquisitions as part of its growth strategy.

ASBESTOS CONTRIBUTIONS

On Dec. 10, 2014, a bankruptcy plan was confirmed for RPM's subsidiary, Bondex International Inc. (Bondex), and its parent, Specialty Products Holding Corp. (SPHC), effective Dec. 23, 2014 (the effective date), allowing the subsidiaries to emerge from bankruptcy (filed in May 2010). In accordance with the bankruptcy plan, a trust was established under Section 524(g) of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code for the benefit of current and future asbestos personal injury claimants. The trust assumed all liability and responsibility for current and future personal injury claims, and the entities will have no further liability or responsibility for and will be permanently protected from such asbestos claims. The trust was initially funded with $450 million in cash and a promissory note, bearing no interest and maturing on or before the fourth anniversary of the effective date. The plan provides for the following additional contributions to the trust:

--On or before Dec. 23, 2016, an additional $102.5 million in cash, RPM stock or a combination thereof (at RPM's discretion in this and all subsequent cases);

--On or before Dec. 23, 2017, an additional $120 million in cash, RPM stock or a combination thereof;

--On or before Dec. 23, 2018, a final payment of $125 million in cash, RPM stock or a combination thereof.

The contributions to the trust are deductible for U.S. income tax purposes.

SOLID LIQUIDITY POSITION

RPM has solid liquidity and is able to meet its financial obligations, including the remaining installments to the asbestos trust. As of Aug. 31, 2016, the company had cash of $194.5 million (of which approximately $174.4 million was held at various foreign subsidiaries) and $781.6 million available under its $800 million revolving credit agreement (maturing in December 2019) and a $200 million accounts receivable securitization program (maturing in May 2017). Fitch believes that the company will continue to have access to its credit facilities, as RPM has sufficient cushion under its financial covenants. The company has no long-term debt maturities until February 2018, when $250 million of senior notes become due.

CONSISTENT FCF GENERATION

RPM generated $206.3 million of FCF (4.3% of revenues) for the LTM ending Aug. 31, 2016 compared with $213.1 million (4.4%) during FY2016, $108.8 million (2.4%) during FY2015, $58.7 million (1.3%) during FY2014 and $159.5 million (3.9%) during FY2013. The FCF during FY2014 includes a one-time General Services Administration (GSA)-settlement payment of $61.9 million. Fitch expects the company will generate FCF of about 2.5%-3.0% of revenues during the next few years.

PRODUCT AND END-MARKET DIVERSITY

The company has a well-balanced portfolio of products, including high-quality specialty paints, protective coatings, roofing systems, sealants and adhesives.

--Within its Industrial segment (51% of FY2016 revenues), management estimates that 50% of its sales are directed to the commercial and industrial repair and maintenance sector, while 50% are directed to the new commercial construction market.

--In its Consumer segment (34% of FY2016 revenues), 85% of sales are directed to the repair and maintenance sector while new home construction accounted for the remaining 15%.

--Within its Specialty segment (15% of FY2016 revenues), about 50% of specialty revenues come from coatings and OEM markets, 40% from the repair and maintenance sector and 10% from the new commercial construction market.

Management estimates that approximately 36% of RPM's net sales are generated from international markets.

CYCLICALITY OF RPM'S END MARKETS

RPM is exposed to cyclical end markets, including new residential and commercial construction and residential and commercial repair and maintenance. Management estimates that approximately 70% of worldwide sales are directed towards the repair and maintenance market, which is somewhat less volatile than the new construction market.

During the last U.S. economic and construction downturn, RPM's sales fell 7.6% during FY 2009, grew 1.3% during FY 2010 and then contracted 0.9% during fiscal 2011. RPM's EBITDA margins declined almost 250 bps during FY2009 but rebounded 200 bps during FY2010. Fitch expects continued growth in overall U.S. construction spending through 2017.

SEC INVESTIGATION

On Sept. 9, 2016, the SEC filed an enforcement claim against RPM and its General Counsel, Edward Moore, in connection with a 2014 investigation pertaining to the timing of RPM's disclosure and accrual of loss reserves in fiscal 2013 with respect to a previously disclosed GSA and Department of Justice investigation into compliance issues relating to Tremco Roofing Division's GSA contracts. The SEC alleges that Moore, who oversaw RPM's response to the investigation, did not inform RPM's CEO, CFO, Audit Committee, and independent auditors of material facts about the investigation.

As a result of Moore's conduct, the SEC alleges that RPM filed multiple false and misleading documents with the SEC. The SEC also alleges that RPM failed to disclose in its SEC filings a material weakness in its internal control over financial reporting and its disclosure controls when in fact such weakness existed. Consequently, RPM did not provide investors with accurate information about RPM's financial condition.

In August 2014, RPM restated its financial results for three quarters that occurred during the DOJ investigation and filed amended SEC filings for those quarters, disclosing the DOJ investigation and related accruals. In the restated filings, RPM also disclosed errors relating to the timing of its disclosure and accrual for the DOJ investigation. These restatements had no impact on RPM's audited financial statements for the fiscal years ended May 31, 2013 or 2014.

This action by the SEC could result in sanctions against RPM and/or its General Counsel and could impose substantial additional costs and distractions.

RPM believes that the allegations mischaracterize both the company's and Moore's actions in connection with this investigation and are without merit. The company's board has stood behind Moore and he will continue to serve as the company's General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer. Management indicated that RPM will contest the allegations in the complaint vigorously.

KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Fitch's key assumptions within its rating case for the issuer include:

--Overall U.S. construction spending grows by mid-single-digits during 2016 and 2017;

--EBITDA margins remain relatively stable at around 14.5%;

--RPM generates FCF margins of 2.5%-3.0% during the next few years;

--The company uses cash on hand and FCF to settle its required asbestos contributions;

--Debt/EBITDA settles between 2.0x-2.5x and FFO-adjusted leverage is below 3.5x during FY2017 and FY2018;

--Interest coverage remains above 7.5x during the next few years.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Positive: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action include:

--Debt reduction and/or EBITDA/FFO growth, resulting in sustained improvement in credit metrics, including debt/EBITDA consistently below 2x, FFO-adjusted leverage sustained under 3x, and EBITDA/interest coverage above 9x on a continuing basis.

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action include:

--A sustained erosion of profits and cash flows either due to weak residential and commercial construction activity, loss of market share, or as the result of long-term higher raw material costs, leading to EBITDA margins sustained below 12%, debt/EBITDA sustained above 2.5x, FFO-adjusted leverage consistently exceeding 3.5x and interest coverage below 6x;

--Leveraged acquisitions which result in debt/EBITDA sustainably over 2.5x and FFO-adjusted leverage above 3.5x for an extended period;

--FCF margins consistently below 1% .

FULL LIST OF RATING ACTIONS

Fitch has upgraded the following ratings:

RPM International Inc.

--IDR to 'BBB' from 'BBB-';

--Senior unsecured debt to 'BBB' from 'BBB-';

--Unsecured revolving credit facility to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'.

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

Summary of Financial Statement Adjustments - Financial statement adjustments that depart materially from those contained in the published financial statements of the relevant rated entity or obligor are disclosed below:

--Historical and projected EBITDA is adjusted to add back non-cash stock-based compensation expense.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

Applicable Criteria

Criteria for Rating Non-Financial Corporates (pub. 27 Sep 2016)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/885629

Additional Disclosures

Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=1014436

Solicitation Status

https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1014436

Endorsement Policy

https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.

Copyright © 2016 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch's ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed.

The information in this report is provided "as is" without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. Fitch is not engaged in the offer or sale of any security. All Fitch reports have shared authorship. Individuals identified in a Fitch report were involved in, but are not solely responsible for, the opinions stated therein. The individuals are named for contact purposes only. A report providing a Fitch rating is neither a prospectus nor a substitute for the information assembled, verified and presented to investors by the issuer and its agents in connection with the sale of the securities. Ratings may be changed or withdrawn at any time for any reason in the sole discretion of Fitch. Fitch does not provide investment advice of any sort. Ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Ratings do not comment on the adequacy of market price, the suitability of any security for a particular investor, or the tax-exempt nature or taxability of payments made in respect to any security. Fitch receives fees from issuers, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, and underwriters for rating securities. Such fees generally vary from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent) per issue. In certain cases, Fitch will rate all or a number of issues issued by a particular issuer, or insured or guaranteed by a particular insurer or guarantor, for a single annual fee. Such fees are expected to vary from US$10,000 to US$1,500,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent). The assignment, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 of the United Kingdom, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers.

For Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan and South Korea only: Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services license (AFS license no. 337123) which authorizes it to provide credit ratings to wholesale clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001

Contacts

Fitch Ratings, Inc.
Primary Analyst
Robert Rulla, CPA
Director
+1-312-606-2311
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
70 W. Madison Street
Chicago, IL 60602
or
Secondary Analyst
Ronald Nirenberg
Director
+1-212-612-7747
or
Committee Chairperson
Joan Okogun
Senior Director
+1-212-908-0384
or
Media Relations
Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278
sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com

Contacts

Fitch Ratings, Inc.
Primary Analyst
Robert Rulla, CPA
Director
+1-312-606-2311
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
70 W. Madison Street
Chicago, IL 60602
or
Secondary Analyst
Ronald Nirenberg
Director
+1-212-612-7747
or
Committee Chairperson
Joan Okogun
Senior Director
+1-212-908-0384
or
Media Relations
Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278
sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com