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Alabama vs. Tennessee 2016: Prediction, preview, pick to win - SEC football

By The Sports Xchange
The Alabama Crimson Tide and head football coach Nick Saban visit Neyland Stadium this Saturday to face the Tennessee Vols. Photo by Jon SooHoo/UPI
The Alabama Crimson Tide and head football coach Nick Saban visit Neyland Stadium this Saturday to face the Tennessee Vols. Photo by Jon SooHoo/UPI | License Photo

Tennessee's ability to conjure up comebacks has caught the attention of Alabama football coach Nick Saban.

With the No. 1 Crimson Tide and No. 9 Volunteers meeting at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (CBS) at Knoxville's Neyland Stadium, Saban this week emphasized to his players the need to play a full 60 minutes.

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"We can't relax in games, we can't have lapses in the game," Saban said. "We always talk about 'no scoreboard, keep playing.' When you relax, you let the momentum of the game change, and that's hard to get back.

"And the way people score points now, there have been numerous games where people were ahead by 21 points and end up losing the game. I think for everybody on the team to understand that, whether you play on special teams, offense or defense, is really important."

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The Vols (5-1, 2-1 Southeastern Conference) scored three touchdowns over the final eight minutes of the fourth quarter last week to send their game at Texas A&M into overtime. Tennessee's seventh turnover of the game in the second overtime session resulted in a 45-38 loss.

Earlier this season, the Volunteers came from 17-7 down at Georgia to win 34-31 on a Hail Mary as time ran out, overcame a 21-0 second-quarter deficit to beat Florida 38-28, erased a 14-0 deficit to top Virginia Tech 45-24, and overcame a 13-3 halftime deficit against Appalachian State to win 20-13 in overtime by recovering a fumble in the end zone.

This game is one of the great rivalries in the South.

Though in different divisions of the SEC -- Alabama in the West, Tennessee in the East -- they play each other every year, and the Tide (6-0, 3-0) has won the last nine meetings.

"This game is a really big rivalry game and a special one for a lot of people in our state, our supporters and our fans," Saban said. "It's obviously a big game for our players as well, and it's very challenging to play this game on the road as it always is because there's always a lot of energy and enthusiasm.

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"Tennessee, I think, has an outstanding team."

But one that is now in a precarious position in its division race.

The loss to the Aggies did more than just take something out of the aura of invincibility that the Vols created with their comebacks.

It also pinned them with their first conference defeat. With Florida also sitting at one loss and its game with LSU in jeopardy following a postponement, a second conference loss could put the Vols behind the Gators in the final standings and knock them out of the conference title game.

Turnovers were a huge factor in the loss to the Aggies. The Vols lost five fumbles and quarterback Joshua Dobbs was intercepted twice. Probably more than anything else, that is what irked Tennessee coach Butch Jones.

"I have been very outspoken about it," Jones said, "and everyone in our program understands that you can't turn the football over."

Other than that, Dobbs played a superb game, completing 28 of 47 passes for 398 yards and a touchdown and rushing for a net 57 yards despite losing 29 yards on four sacks.

With running back Jalen Hurd out due to a "lower extremity" injury, Alvin Kamara picked up the slack with 127 yards rushing. Hurd will be back for the Alabama game and his presence will be a big lift for the Vols.

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Two players who definitely won't be available for Tennessee are defensive tackle Danny O'Brien and linebacker Jalen Reeves-Maybin. O'Brien sustained a head injury in the loss to Texas A&M, and he subsequently was dismissed from the team for a rules violation.

Reeves-Maybin also is out with a shoulder injury that could require surgery.

"He is still looking at different options for what he wants to pursue," Jones said regarding a possible operation. "He has all the time he needs to make that decision. I think he has earned that right."

That is not good with the Vols facing a Tide offense featuring freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts, who is averaging more than 256 yards a game in total offense, and sophomore running back Damien Harris, who has three 100-yard rushing games this season.

"I think this is the best Alabama team we have faced since we have been here," Jones said. "Not to take anything away from other teams. They have all been very talented."

Prediction

The Alabama offense has been firing on all cylinders and that should continue in this game. The loss of Reeves-Maybin and O'Brien does not come at a good time for the Vols. While Tennessee has had comebacks in the previous games, Alabama is No. 1 for a reason and this contest should not be close. Look for Jalen Hurts, Damien Harris and company to roll.

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Pick to Win

Alabama 41, Tennessee 21

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