Republican analysts say US troops will make little difference against IS

By Matthew Rusling Source:Global Times Published: 2015-11-4 23:23:01

Illustration: Liu Rui/GT


The White House announced this week that it will put boots on the ground in a bid to destroy the Islamic State (IS), but the move may not make much difference in the fight against the terror group that has overrun vast swaths of territory in Iraq and Syria, some US experts said.

The US-led coalition has been bombing IS targets for more than a year, but critics contend the strikes are half-hearted at best and too few and infrequent compared to other US air wars over the last 20 years.

While US President Barack Obama has in the past vowed not to put boots on the ground in Syria, the White House announced Friday that it would deploy US ground troops to Syria for the first time, in a bid to assist rebels fighting the Islamic militants.

Less than 50 US special forces troops will be deployed to Kurdish-controlled areas in Syria to help Kurdish and Arab fighters with planning and logistics, the White House said, while insisting that the US troops lack a combat mission in Syria.

"Considering the size of the IS, while it will make a difference, that additional edge will be somewhat limited overall," Wayne White, former deputy director of the State Department's Middle East Intelligence Office under president George W. Bush , told Xinhua.

"It certainly will get the attention of IS leadership as perhaps leading to even more forward leaning US action, but the IS will not anticipate a major shift on the battlefield," he said.

While US President Barack Obama promised in the past that no US ground forces will be engaged in combat, experts noted that forces have gradually ramped up and that still more mission creep may occur.

"We already have seen that slippery slope in action as the administration has gone from a limited ground presence in Iraq, to over 3,000 advisers and trainers," he said.

"As the administration continues to undergo political bombardment from hawkish politicians and winces over the miserable failure of its costly Free Syrian Army training effort, we may see still more mission creep," White said.

One huge risk for the US in getting closer to or into the action is what the IS hopes for: in the course of some operation, US troops could fall into IS hands and be brutally exploited on tape for IS revenge.

White said the reason that the IS has not been impacted by US and coalition airstrikes has little to do with the air campaign.

In fact, if the IS was under far more serious pressure on the ground on its over-extended perimeter from determined local forces, the airstrikes could have been part of a decisive one-two punch, he said.

However, the Iraqi Kurds are doing little more than sitting on their previous gains, and the Iraqi Army, despite having over a year to bounce back from its catastrophic June-July 2014 defeats at the hand of the IS, has made only marginal gains, White said.

In Syria, the group fighting hardest against the IS, the Kurdish YPD, is short of munitions in large measure because of Turkey's objections to more meaningful US military aid, he said.

Yet, in the Battle of Kobani and other fronts where it drove back the IS forces significantly until becoming itself overextended and under supplied, the YPD showed what a combination of determined local ground forces and coalition airstrikes could accomplish.

"In other words, most local forces - especially the Iraqi Army - still essentially do not measure up to the IS' fierce combatants," White said.



The author is a writer with the Xinhua News Agency. The article first appeared on Xinhua.
opinion@globaltimes.com.cn



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