Zacks.com featured expert Kevin Matras highlights: Lennox International, Isle of Capri Casinos, U.S. Concrete, HollyFrontier and Assurant - Press Releases

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – July 29, 2015 - Stocks in this week’s article include: Lennox International (LII), Isle of Capri Casinos (ISLE), U.S. Concrete (USCR), HollyFrontier (HFC) and Assurant (AIZ). Kevin Matras shows why stocks with new analyst coverage are stocks you want to have.

Screen of the Week written by Kevin Matras of Zacks Investment Research:

What’s Your Stock’s Price Target?
 
In spite of the market trading near all-time highs, last week’s pullback has many concerned what the market will do next.

Some are expecting the market to zip back up and make new all-time highs, while others are expecting the pullback to continue.

But regardless of what you think may or may not happen to the market, everyone would like to have a better understanding of what their stock's potential price target is. And that's what we're going to talk about today.

You can do this by using either technicals or fundamentals.

Today, I'm going to focus on the fundamentals.

And we're going to use the P/E ratio to calculate it.

The P/E Ratio Can Tell You A Lot

Many people use P/E ratios to determine a company's perceived under or overvaluation.
But you can also use the P/E ratio to determine a stock's upside and downside price targets.

The two most common P/E ratios used are the:

1) P/Es using the Trailing 12 months (or 4 quarters) of earnings

2) P/Es using the F1 (or Current Fiscal Year) Estimates

You can also use the P/E using 12 Month Forward EPS estimate. (I’m actually partial to that one over the P/E using F1.)

The calculation for the P/E ratio is simply price divided by earnings.

For example: if a stock's price is $30 and its earnings are $1.25, its P/E would be 24.

If that stock's earnings rose to $2.00, the P/E would now be lower at 15. ($30 price / $2.00 earnings = 15 P/E)

And the most logical conclusion would be to see the stock's price rise until its most recent multiple (or P/E ratio) of 24 was hit again.

Why is this so 'logical'? Because if people had just been willing to pay 24 times earnings, they probably will again if they believe the company's earnings will continue to improve.

And in an environment where P/Es are increasing, they might be willing to pay even more.
You'll also find that most of the time a stock's P/E ratio using EPS actuals is higher than its P/E ratio using its forward estimates.

That's because of the uncertainty regarding the projected earnings vs. the certainty of actual earnings.

As the company continues to report (and meet its projections), the forward P/E ratio typically increases, which means the stock price increases as the earnings projections are coming to fruition.

And as more optimism grows over future earnings growth, you may see the P/E ratio grow even more, getting even higher than its previous multiple.

Calculating the Price Target

So, the calculation to figure out your stock's price target is below:

Price x ((current P/E) / (forward P/E)) = future price (or price target)

In other words: let's say a stock's price was $50 and its current P/E was 20. Let's also say its forward P/E was 15.

That's: $50 * (20 / 15) = $66.50 price target

Another way of saying this would be: 15 goes into 20, 1.33 times. So $50 times 1.33 equals your price target of $66.50.

Price Target Screen

The screen I'm running today finds stocks with P/Es under their average P/E over the last 5 years and that also have price targets of at least 20% or more above their current price.

The Parameters are:

P/E less than Average P/E over the Last 5 Years

(I want the stock's P/E to be less than the Average P/E over the Last 5 Years.)

Price Target greater than or equal to 1.2* the current price

(Looking for stocks whose price target is at least 20% above their current price.)

Zacks Rank less than or equal to 3

(No Sells or Strong Sells allowed.)

Here are 5 stocks that came thru this week's screen:

(LII) Lennox International

(28.23% upside to $148.36)

(ISLE) Isle of Capri Casinos

(37.80% upside to $24.74)

(USCR) U.S. Concrete

(41.40% upside to $59.18)

(HFC) HollyFrontier

(33.15% upside to $60.84)

(AIZ) Assurant

(31.81% upside to $95.73)

Some great picks, and they are all trading at least 20% below their projected price targets.

Get the rest of the stocks on this list and start finding stocks trading below their price targets today. It's easy to do.

Click here to sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today.
 
Sign up now for your free trial today and start picking better stocks immediately. And with the backtesting feature, you can test your ideas to see how you can improve your trading in both up markets and down markets. Don’t wait for the market to get better before you decide to do better. Start learning how to be a better trader today: https://at.zacks.com/?id=111

Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.

About Screen of the Week
 
Zacks.com created the first and best screening system on the web earning the distinction as the "#1 site for screening stocks" by Money Magazine.  But powerful screening tools is just the start. That is why Zacks created the Screen of the Week to highlight profitable stock picking strategies that investors can actively use. Each week, Zacks Profit from the Pros free email newsletter shares a new screening strategy. Learn more about it here https://at.zacks.com/?id=112


Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
LENNOX INTL INC (LII): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
ISLE OF CAPRI (ISLE): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
US CONCRETE INC (USCR): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
HOLLYFRONTIER (HFC): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
ASSURANT INC (AIZ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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