Mesoscale Discussion 0036
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0226 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

   Areas affected...far eastern South Carolina and southeast North
   Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6...7...

   Valid 092026Z - 092200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6, 7 continues.

   SUMMARY...The supercell tornado threat is increasing this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...A band of supercells has started to mature as they move
   north over the warm Atlantic waters. Very strong shear, (68 knots
   per CHS 18Z RAOB) and a vorticity rich low-level airmass with 474
   m2/2 0-500m SRH will support a waterspout/tornado threat with these
   supercells. However, at this time, instability is still quite
   limited along the coast with only 61F dewpoint at North Myrtle
   Beach, SC and Southport, NC. This may keep the tornado threat
   confined to the coast initially. However, the higher theta-e airmass
   over the ocean is expected to advect inland late this afternoon and
   evening which may also increase the strong tornado threat.

   ..Bentley.. 01/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

   LAT...LON   33717882 34257877 34817841 34887776 34237735 32487794
               32217872 32267918 32947915 33717882