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    Market eyes Budget 2014 for direction; stocks & sectors to watch out for

    Synopsis

    Markets would be looking at a pragmatic budget with credible numbers and critical reforms from medium to long term perspective, Sharekhan said in a report.

    ET Online
    NEW DELHI: The Indian markets have picked up momentum in the run-up to the Budget 2014, which will provide the much-needed direction to the markets, say experts.

    "Most of the expectations are running a little ahead of what the government can actually do midyear, because one has to remember that they have taken up the government by the half of this financial year," said Tushar Pradhan, CIO, HSBC Asset Management.

    "What we all should expect from the budget is that it should give a little bit of a signal in terms of what the broader direction of policy is likely to be for the rest of the period that the government will be in power," he added.

    Amid heightened hope of ‘acche din’ in contrast to bitter ground realities, the Union Budget would be the first policy announcement from the newly-elected government and consequently a big test of its resolve to walk to talk.

    The markets would be looking at a pragmatic budget with credible numbers and intent of government on critical reforms (tax reforms, subsidies, divestment, FDI etc) from medium to long term perspective, Sharekhan said in a report.

    Most brokerage firm have already started recommending their clients to look at specific stocks which are likely to benefit from the upcoming Budget 2014 based on specific policy reforms.

    We have collated a list of key expectations from different brokerage firms from the upcoming Budget 2014 and stocks to watch out for:

    Key Sector Expectations Stocks in focus
    Agri inputs 1) Increase in subsidy to meet the arrears of around Rs30,000 crore in FY2014 (2) Reduction of excise duty and uniform rate of VAT for agro chemcials (3) Increase in spending related to irrigation projects (4) Allowing further usage of hybrid seeds UPL, Jain Irrigation, Monsanto India, Kaveri Seeds and Dhanuka Agritech
    Banking (1) Long term infra bonds for infra sector funding (2) Raise exemption limit under section 80 C (3) Income tax benefit on provisioning for NBFCs (4) Recapitalisation of PSBs (5) Increase FDI in insurance ICICI, SBI, BOB, Federal Bank and LIC Housing, Bajaj Finance, Max India among NBFCs.
    Capital Goods (1) Increase in allocation to Infrastructure sector (2) Relaxing of ECB limits and CCI limit for faster project clearance (3) increase in allocation for water related projects (4) Increase in capital allocation for upgradation and connectivity of railways network L&T, Crompton Greaves, Finolex cables, VaTech Wabag, Texmaco, Titagarh Wagons, Kernex Microsystems, Kalpataru Power and KEC
    Defence 1) Increase in allocation for defence spends (2) Increase in FDI limit in defence sector from 26% currently BEL, Astra Microwave and L&T
    FMCG 1) Increase in tax slabs to Rs3 lakhs from Rs2 lakhs (2) Increase in excise duty on cigarette (3) Interest subvention on loans for re-plantation of tea Jyothy Laboratories and Mcleod Russel
    Oil & Gas Analysts expect announcements on measures to reduce oil subsidies including a roadmap for elimination of diesel subsidies and reduction of LPG / Kerosene subsidies. This will be positive for all state-owned oil companies ONGC, Oil India, HPCL, BPCL, IOC
    Infrastructure Initiatives to help restart stalled projects particularly in the Power, Coal, Roads, Railways sectors. We expect government to announce fiscal incentives for new capex. ITNL, IRB and Mahindra Lifespace
    Retail (1) Reduction in custom duty for gold (2) GST rollout roadmap to be set (3) Increase in tax slabs to Rs3 lakhs from Rs2 lakhs Titan Industries, Muthoot Finance and Mannapuram Finance
    Textiles Subsidy and additional allocation under Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS) for the textile industry Arvind Mills and Vardhaman
    Source: Sharekhan, Deutsche Bank



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    (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .)

    Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily Market Updates & Live Business News.

    Subscribe to The Economic Times Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today.

    Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price

    ...more
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